Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 4.863629 5.464211 6.119428 6.888847 7.769554 8.748385 9.921728
2025-01-05 3.961139 4.751521 5.679980 6.856998 8.317606 10.081167 12.387742
2025-01-12 3.377519 4.251969 5.337214 6.794886 8.719452 11.198367 14.673214
2025-01-19 2.835209 3.703817 4.828450 6.408738 8.599900 11.572008 15.979413
2025-01-26 2.566731 3.465010 4.672826 6.440398 9.002939 12.648218 18.345081
2025-02-02 2.409048 3.350587 4.660958 6.651755 9.660009 14.134956 21.486085
2025-02-09 2.251551 3.215238 4.598123 6.770726 10.178937 15.459815 24.543307
2025-02-16 2.107956 3.082910 4.521417 6.851850 10.636134 16.726478 27.665528
2025-02-23 1.981389 2.962180 4.446951 6.921997 11.073307 17.998116 30.960073
2025-03-02 1.811215 2.758659 4.224615 6.728714 11.047444 18.479000 32.901220
2025-03-09 1.685828 2.614346 4.081780 6.648849 11.198946 19.272886 35.516114
2025-03-16 1.572210 2.479388 3.941740 6.557800 11.316063 20.009562 38.113168
2025-03-23 1.531499 2.462926 3.999540 6.821808 12.114611 22.127444 43.862299
2025-03-30 1.445729 2.364360 3.910360 6.815326 12.410293 23.323011 47.897671
2025-04-06 1.359970 2.259003 3.800306 6.758785 12.601256 24.330689 51.686354
2025-04-13 1.231787 2.070657 3.529440 6.375947 12.107535 23.876620 52.090960
2025-04-20 1.176762 2.007658 3.478362 6.407633 12.451264 25.218768 56.915751
2025-04-27 1.150969 1.994983 3.517516 6.617814 13.185323 27.496163 64.417371
2025-05-04 1.114412 1.959765 3.511451 6.736108 13.735988 29.435853 71.431399
2025-05-11 1.075606 1.917494 3.488414 6.816765 14.212152 31.265415 78.505381
2025-05-18 1.038142 1.875086 3.461648 6.886505 14.670533 33.112665 85.990279
2025-05-25 0.973752 1.776830 3.318112 6.694342 14.505969 33.414851 89.141471
2025-06-01 0.926438 1.708825 3.230150 6.614937 14.596766 34.366922 94.384678